منابع مشابه
Decision making with imprecise probabilities
In many decision problems the only information available about a random event is expert opinion. The theory of imprecise probabilities, a generalization of standard subjective probability, allows us to deal with such information. In this paper the use of imprecise probabilities is discussed, with emphasis on elicitation and combination of opinions and decision making, and some recent results ar...
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Orthodox Bayesian decision theory requires an agent’s beliefs representable by a real-valued function, ideally a probability function. Many theorists have argued this is too restrictive; it can be perfectly reasonable to have indeterminate degrees of belief. So doxastic states are ideally representable by a set of probability functions. One consequence of this is that the expected value of a ga...
متن کاملAnytime Decision Making with Imprecise Probabilities
This paper examines methods of decision making that are able to accommodate limitations on both the form in which uncertainty pertaining to a deci sion problem can be realistically represented and the amount of computing time available before a deci sion must be made. The methods are anytime algo "_th� in the sense of Boddy and Dean [1989] . Tech Diques are presented for use with Frisch and...
متن کاملDecision Making with Imprecise Probabilistic Information
We develop an axiomatic approach to decision under uncertainty that explicitly takes into account the information available to the decision maker. The information is described by a set of priors and a reference prior. We define a notion of imprecision for this informational setting and show that a decision maker who is averse to information imprecision maximizes the minimum expected utility com...
متن کاملDecision Making with Imprecise Second-Order Probabilities
In this paper we consider decision making under hierarchical imprecise uncertainty models and derive general algorithms to determine optimal actions. Numerical examples illustrate the proposed methods.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: International Journal of Approximate Reasoning
سال: 2010
ISSN: 0888-613X
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijar.2010.06.002